One of life’s under-appreciated
pleasures is the “ah ha.” It is that lovely moment when the
mists clear and the truth that was lurking behind the clouds
emerges in full clarity. I always feel terrific when things
come together, and I can say, “Ah ha, now I get it.” I often
find myself working with things that are not completely clear.
I may have enough knowledge to achieve useful results, but
still feel myself struggling with the big picture and the
broader implications. Sometimes I am rewarded with a little
“ah ha” that brightens my day and makes my path a little
clearer, but really big “ah ha’s” are rarer. Recently,
someone
1 gave me a whopper of an “ah ha” about
retirement planning that I’d like to share.
The idea is simple, but for me it has changed the entire
structure of my understanding of retirement planning. The idea
is this: “There is a ten-year period, the five years just
before retirement and the five years just after retirement,
that is critical to the success of any retirement.” I think I
always understood that there was something like that, but
stated with such clarity, this concept has transformed my
thinking. It’s similar to when I finally understood what the
ski instructor meant when he said, “Keep your weight on the
downhill ski.”
The more I reflect on this concept, the more wisdom I find
in it—in other words, the more I find it reflects ideas that I
have talked about, written about and tried to work with for
many years, but which never came together with such clarity.
There is more to say about this than I can cram into this
column, but let me try to pull out two of the most important
ideas, one from the five years before retirement and one from
the five years after retirement.
Before Retirement:
Lifestyle Creep
The first idea is what I call “lifestyle creep.” More and
more, people find themselves in a pretty comfortable situation
as they approach retirement. They are earning more money than
they ever have. Frequently, the second spouse has gone back
into the workforce, and as that spouse moves from entry-level
positions to more responsible roles, the earnings increase
dramatically. The primary earner has achieved senior status
and the compensation that comes with it. Meanwhile, many of
their key expenses were fixed in earlier years when they were
earning less, and for many, university tuitions have finally
been paid. The result is that the gap between earnings and
expenses is widening rapidly. For many families, the funds
available for savings and investment may increase by five or
even ten times in the five years just before retirement.
Imagine a family where the principal wage earner was making
$60,000 in 1995. The spouse was managing the home while the
last of their two children was still in high school. The
mortgage on their home was ten years old, and had been fixed
in 1985 when their income was $45,000. The monthly mortgage
payments were about $600 a month. They were saving $3,000 into
a 401(k) and paying tuition for their oldest child of $7,500 a
year, $2,500 from current income and the rest from an
educational savings fund that they had set up years ago.
Today, tuition for their children has ended. The spouse
went back to work five years ago and is now making $30,000 a
year, and the principal wage earner is up to $75,000 a year.
Their lifestyle has improved a little in the last five years,
and their after-tax budget has gone from $45,000 to $57,000,
but their margin for savings and investment has grown from
$3,000 a year to more than $30,000. In the next five years,
they could conceivably save about one-third of all the money
they are going to need for a comfortable retirement. They are
looking forward to a prosperous retirement, a pleasant
lifestyle, some travel and the security of knowing that their
needs will be met.
These are indeed the good times. But just barely visible
behind the mists of euphoria, there is a potential
problem—lifestyle creep. Suppose the happy couple decides to
spend that surplus instead of using it for savings and
investment. They decide to make dramatic improvements in their
lifestyle: better home, new wardrobe, new cars, and a country
club membership. It’s not hard to spend $30,000. In the
typical cycle of retirement planning, this gets translated
into an imperative to postpone retirement for a few years.
The bad news is worse than that. Lifestyle creep not only
reduces or eliminates the ability to make dramatic additions
to retirement capital, but it also increases the cost of
retirement. The goal of modern retirement is to have a
lifestyle in retirement that is similar to the lifestyle
enjoyed just before retirement—not to make it better but
certainly not to have it worse. If lifestyle expenditures
increase dramatically in the years just before retirement,
they tend to increase the budget throughout most of
retirement. In fact, in the case just described, if the funds
available after their usual expenses are used to increase
lifestyle, it will increase the cost of retirement by almost
50 percent.
So here is the happy couple: empty nesters, looking forward
to retirement with more cash available than they ever had, and
they have a serious decision to make. How will they allocate
these surplus funds between savings and investments on one
hand, and improved lifestyle on the other? To make the “right
decision,” they need to understand the full implications of
their decisions. If they take these dollars for improved
lifestyle, they also are increasing the cost of their
retirement. Thus, a seemingly Solomon-like decision to put
half into savings and half into lifestyle is actually a
decision to spend most of the funds on increased lifestyle.
Half of the available cash that they have decided to put into
lifestyle will also increase the cost of their retirement by
about one-third, and the amount that they are putting into
savings will increase their retirement capital by only about
eight percent. They need your help, as a planner, in getting
to an “ah ha” in these critical years just before
retirement.
After Retirement: Second
Childhood
Now, let’s shift our focus to the first few years just
after retirement. With your help, our happy couple made the
right decisions in the years just before retirement. They
saved the great bulk of those extra dollars, invested them
wisely, and now have a nest egg large enough to provide a
prosperous retirement—one in which their lifestyle is very
similar to their lifestyle before retirement. But they are
retired, and this is the period of retirement that has the
potential of being “a second childhood without parental
supervision.” Whoopie! School is out and it’s time to play.
Now the trick is to help these folks plan the rest of their
retirement in a way that deals realistically with their needs,
but still frees them to shift financial resources into this
active phase of their retirement. There are issues that need
to be dealt with: longevity, medical care, the possible need
for nursing care, changing requirements for their residence,
their desires to leave an inheritance, investment returns,
inflation and so on—all the familiar retirement planning
issues. When all is said and done, however, the question
remains, “What is the purpose of having saved all this money
for retirement?” The quick and easy response is, “To provide
financial security,” but this is not a time of subsistence
living. Financial planners are trying to respond to their
clients’ desire to capture the full potential of modern
American retirement—not just to keep the wolf away from the
door.
The trick to capturing the full potential of this
complicated, very long and expensive retirement is to create a
comprehensive financial plan that shows the retiree exactly
what is available for grasping the fun and excitement of the
first few years of retirement. These first few years are the
time when their health, vigor and enthusiasm are likely to be
at a peak, and capturing the full potential of those years is
at the very top of the list in terms of important retirement
decisions.
The role of financial planning has never been more
important as millions of Americans reach out to grasp the
reality of modern retirement. It will help them understand
just how to do that if we can get them focused on the
important decisions that tend to cluster in the Decision
Decade.
Endnote
- This comes from my friends at Delaware Investments who
have dubbed this concept “The Delaware Decision
Decade.”
Michael K. Stein, CFP, is vice president of EMSTCO,
LLC, in Boulder, Colorado, and author of The Prosperous
Retirement.